Forums > General Discussion   Shooting the breeze...

CO2 Taxation Australia

Reply
Created by FlySurfer > 9 months ago, 8 Jul 2011
SomeOtherGuy
NSW, 807 posts
19 Jul 2011 7:14PM
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macro, you just have the hottest girlfriends...

log man
VIC, 8289 posts
19 Jul 2011 8:44PM
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FlySurfer said...

laceys lane said...

ok. i'm an idiot compared to most of you lot on this forum. i'm from the gold coast, qld. i'm a builder/carpenter. this the worse reccesion i've ever seen in all my time. the domestic sector is almost none existent on the goldie- has been for over two years.
a lot of people are really struggling. handouts to the goverment building secter- nice one, that'll get things going.

master builders have quoted up to 10% extra to housing costs- we're dead and we've got to find more money to survive. this goverment, our state goverment just doesn't get it- no one has got any money.

and i'm not convinced it's going to make one jack of any difference and as sure as i'm alive we will pay more and more after the trinkets stop

there must be another way.

i'm out of my depth here, but has anyone got any ideas for a better green plan or is this the real deal long term


I wouldn't sell yourself short.

There are no quick fix solutions. With regard to the environment our activities cause the damage.
So reducing them would benefit it. But the way we do things while maintaining or improving our standard of living should be the goal.

Take for example our internal transport, it's a huge energy consumer. Every day millions of people move around from one place to another just to perform a location independent task... like in Log Man's case answering the phone .

Globalization has created an enormous amount of waste. We ship garlic from Australia to China, and China to Australia... and for what purpose? Sure American cherry's taste real nice, but they could sell us the technique and seeds.

A very high percentage of things are produced in China only to take advantage of an artificial trading construct, in actual planetary resource cost it is more expensive to ship raw material from Australia to China than to manufacture the item close to the resource location or consumption location.

If we wanted to decrease the impact we have on Earth we would.
1.- Change the education system, by valuing solutions over memorization.
2.- Encourage local manufacturing and farming... by imposing tariffs to limit the amount of wasteful transportation.
3.- Decentralize employment hubs... stop people needing to go in to some CBD to answer emails.
4.- Stop wasteful alimentary practices... we kill millions of animals only to not consume them and put them in land fills.
5.- Tax non biodegradable packing.
6.- Introduce mandatory warranty periods of 5 years for consumer goods. This will encourage better quality and modularization.
7.- Ban these Chemicals: www.wwf.org.au/knowledge-centre/resource-library
8.- Use recycled water for farming.
9.- Limit the use of fertilizers close to water ways... fertilizers encourage algae blooms which suffocate aquatic life creating dead zones and massive jelly fish infestations.
10.- Tighten fishing quotas ... I remember as a kid the ocean was full of life, now all I see are jelly fish and the odd cuttlefish.
...






Grandstanding

Macroscien
QLD, 6806 posts
19 Jul 2011 9:02PM
Thumbs Up

I could be unpopular here but if we could:
melt OUR iron ore here
and
using OUR COAL here
instead of taking over all to China
to melt there
and then bringing all back here we could save a planet a bit of CO2.

Obviously carbon tax doesn't allow ( or does it ? ) for common sense to prevail...

ok .. I agree .. call me an idiot ....

laceys lane
QLD, 19803 posts
19 Jul 2011 9:05PM
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log man said...

FlySurfer said...

laceys lane said...

ok. i'm an idiot compared to most of you lot on this forum. i'm from the gold coast, qld. i'm a builder/carpenter. this the worse reccesion i've ever seen in all my time. the domestic sector is almost none existent on the goldie- has been for over two years.
a lot of people are really struggling. handouts to the goverment building secter- nice one, that'll get things going.

master builders have quoted up to 10% extra to housing costs- we're dead and we've got to find more money to survive. this goverment, our state goverment just doesn't get it- no one has got any money.

and i'm not convinced it's going to make one jack of any difference and as sure as i'm alive we will pay more and more after the trinkets stop

there must be another way.

i'm out of my depth here, but has anyone got any ideas for a better green plan or is this the real deal long term


I wouldn't sell yourself short.

There are no quick fix solutions. With regard to the environment our activities cause the damage.
So reducing them would benefit it. But the way we do things while maintaining or improving our standard of living should be the goal.

Take for example our internal transport, it's a huge energy consumer. Every day millions of people move around from one place to another just to perform a location independent task... like in Log Man's case answering the phone .

Globalization has created an enormous amount of waste. We ship garlic from Australia to China, and China to Australia... and for what purpose? Sure American cherry's taste real nice, but they could sell us the technique and seeds.

A very high percentage of things are produced in China only to take advantage of an artificial trading construct, in actual planetary resource cost it is more expensive to ship raw material from Australia to China than to manufacture the item close to the resource location or consumption location.

If we wanted to decrease the impact we have on Earth we would.
1.- Change the education system, by valuing solutions over memorization.
2.- Encourage local manufacturing and farming... by imposing tariffs to limit the amount of wasteful transportation.
3.- Decentralize employment hubs... stop people needing to go in to some CBD to answer emails.
4.- Stop wasteful alimentary practices... we kill millions of animals only to not consume them and put them in land fills.
5.- Tax non biodegradable packing.
6.- Introduce mandatory warranty periods of 5 years for consumer goods. This will encourage better quality and modularization.
7.- Ban these Chemicals: www.wwf.org.au/knowledge-centre/resource-library
8.- Use recycled water for farming.
9.- Limit the use of fertilizers close to water ways... fertilizers encourage algae blooms which suffocate aquatic life creating dead zones and massive jelly fish infestations.
10.- Tighten fishing quotas ... I remember as a kid the ocean was full of life, now all I see are jelly fish and the odd cuttlefish.
...






Grandstanding


no, i asked for it i believe

log man
VIC, 8289 posts
19 Jul 2011 9:08PM
Thumbs Up

not you lacey I meant FL

FlySurfer
NSW, 4453 posts
20 Jul 2011 2:34PM
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Australia, under our Green-Labor-Independent dictatorship, will be deliberately undermining our own coal-fired electricity sector via the Government's no-mandate imposition of a carbon "X" scheme; we will then be buying some $3 Billion per annum worth of carbon dioxide credits from countries such as China and India; they will be able to sell us their UN-provided free carbon credits, while at the same time, buying our coal to burn in their UN-subsidised coal-fired power plants.

Explained: We pay for India to burn our coal in its power plants.

Carbon credits for India coal power plant stoke criticism
http://www.eco-business.com/news/carbon-credits-for-india-coal-%20power-plant-stoke-criticism/

Thanks to Australia's Coal, China and India to spew out 100 megatonnes of CO2
in 5 days - the approximate amount that Australia aims to save annually by 2020.
www.eai.in/club/users/amsapna/blogs/1791

laceys lane
QLD, 19803 posts
20 Jul 2011 2:59PM
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so the whole carbon tax thing is just a load s### like all these things are.

dirty grubby taxing collectors.

yeah, i'm pissed, their just playing with us- again. its got nothing to do with going green.

gillard is toeing the line. we've got no real idea whats really going on and they sure as hell aren't going to tell us if they can help it

secret service makes us nervous

Macroscien
QLD, 6806 posts
20 Jul 2011 3:17PM
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Macroscien said...

SomeOtherGuy said...

FlySurfer said...

SomeOtherGuy said...
OH RIGHT! Engineer... sewerage engineer is just another name for plumber isn't it?

Maybe you can understand this...




Why? Did you want me to explain it to you?


Naaah , WE ARE THE CHAMPIONS !!!

in idiocy



Good Ideas FL

Did you just suggested to replace our National Anthem ??

good vibes in this song unlike Matilda

and lyrics easier to remember

just substitute YOU with WE and we could go in the world singing !!!

about our CARBON TAX CODE

btw there are no money on this world that we could buy us respect back
especially from two beneficiaries China and India mentioned above.

just imagine next time we strike a gold in future olympics
and we all sing

If I was Torpie I will jump back to water (deep under and stay there) for that precious moment

SomeOtherGuy
NSW, 807 posts
20 Jul 2011 4:40PM
Thumbs Up

FlySurfer said...

Australia, under our Green-Labor-Independent dictatorship, will be deliberately undermining our own coal-fired electricity sector via the Government's no-mandate imposition of a carbon "X" scheme; we will then be buying some $3 Billion per annum worth of carbon dioxide credits from countries such as China and India; they will be able to sell us their UN-provided free carbon credits, while at the same time, buying our coal to burn in their UN-subsidised coal-fired power plants.

Explained: We pay for India to burn our coal in its power plants.

Carbon credits for India coal power plant stoke criticism
http://www.eco-business.com/news/carbon-credits-for-india-coal-%20power-plant-stoke-criticism/

Thanks to Australia's Coal, China and India to spew out 100 megatonnes of CO2
in 5 days - the approximate amount that Australia aims to save annually by 2020.
www.eai.in/club/users/amsapna/blogs/1791




By golly, you're right ButtSurfer! We should do nothing, just like you said! F##k the world, let 'em choke. That'll show 'em...

SomeOtherGuy
NSW, 807 posts
20 Jul 2011 4:42PM
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Macroscien said...


Good Ideas FL

Did you just suggested to replace our National Anthem ??

good vibes in this song unlike Matilda

and lyrics easier to remember

just substitute YOU with WE and we could go in the world singing !!!

about our tax code

btw there are no money on this world that we could buy us respect back
especially from two beneficiaries China and India mentioned above.

just imagine next time we strike a gold in future olympics
and we all sing

If I was Torpie I will jump back to water (deep under ) for that precious moment



Mate I haven't got a clue what you're saying in any of your posts. I can't even begin to tie this into the topic. Can you explain?

Macroscien
QLD, 6806 posts
20 Jul 2011 5:16PM
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SomeOtherGuy said...

Macroscien said...


Good Ideas FL

Did you just suggested to replace our National Anthem ??

good vibes in this song unlike Matilda

and lyrics easier to remember

just substitute YOU with WE and we could go in the world singing !!!

about our tax code

btw there are no money on this world that we could buy us respect back
especially from two beneficiaries China and India mentioned above.

just imagine next time we strike a gold in future olympics
and we all sing

If I was Torpie I will jump back to water (deep under ) for that precious moment



Mate I haven't got a clue what you're saying in any of your posts. I can't even begin to tie this into the topic. Can you explain?


I am a little bit lost here , man

since you do not understand a word from what I am talking about

how could I ??

doesn't matter , don't worry, lets sing our song :

" We are the chimp-ions

in this idiotic carbon world ..."

all together , nice and loudly

PS. last resort ...(to explain)
If we are going to send 3.5 bln in hard cash to India and China , so they could buy and burn our dirty coal (as Fl is saying under this new Carbon Tax rules)


so maybe
we should throw next twenty bucks on top
to buy a bucket of
mini Chinese guinea piglets brains
to be transplanted here to our politicians


SomeOtherGuy
NSW, 807 posts
20 Jul 2011 5:39PM
Thumbs Up

Macroscien said...

SomeOtherGuy said...

Macroscien said...


Good Ideas FL

Did you just suggested to replace our National Anthem ??

good vibes in this song unlike Matilda

and lyrics easier to remember

just substitute YOU with WE and we could go in the world singing !!!

about our tax code

btw there are no money on this world that we could buy us respect back
especially from two beneficiaries China and India mentioned above.

just imagine next time we strike a gold in future olympics
and we all sing

If I was Torpie I will jump back to water (deep under ) for that precious moment



Mate I haven't got a clue what you're saying in any of your posts. I can't even begin to tie this into the topic. Can you explain?


Rwy'n ychydig goll yma, dyn

gan nad ydych yn deall gair o'r hyn wyf yn sôn am

sut y gallwn??

nid yw'n fater, peidiwch â phoeni, yn gadael i ganu ein cân:

"Ni yw'r ļonau Chimp-

yn y byd hwn carbon ddwl ... "

i gyd gyda'i gilydd, braf ac yn uchel

PS. dewis olaf ... (i egluro)
Os ydym yn mynd i anfon 3.5 bln mewn arian parod yn galed i India a Tsieina, er mwyn iddyn nhw brynu losgi ein glo (sef Fl yn ei ddweud o dan y rheolau treth Carbon newydd)


felly efallai
dylem taflu ar hugain nesaf bychod ar ben
i brynu bwced o
mini Tseiniaidd moch bach gini ymennydd
i gael eu trawsblannu yma i ein gwleidyddion





Macroscien
QLD, 6806 posts
20 Jul 2011 6:07PM
Thumbs Up

Select to expand quote
SomeOtherGuy said...
Rwy'n ychydig goll yma, dyn

gan nad ydych yn deall gair o'r hyn wyf yn sôn am

sut y gallwn??

nid yw'n fater, peidiwch â phoeni, yn gadael i ganu ein cân:

"Ni yw'r ļonau Chimp-

yn y byd hwn carbon ddwl ... "

i gyd gyda'i gilydd, braf ac yn uchel

PS. dewis olaf ... (i egluro)
Os ydym yn mynd i anfon 3.5 bln mewn arian parod yn galed i India a Tsieina, er mwyn iddyn nhw brynu losgi ein glo (sef Fl yn ei ddweud o dan y rheolau treth Carbon newydd)


felly efallai
dylem taflu ar hugain nesaf bychod ar ben
i brynu bwced o
mini Tseiniaidd moch bach gini ymennydd
i gael eu trawsblannu yma i ein gwleidyddion








sorry man but even if I could take sharp razor blade
and cut two balls of my IQ
there still will not be a plain field and I don't want to use that advantage
calculations below:
200 - 00 = 2
my 2 > yours 1



just a joke,man, don't take it seriously

SomeOtherGuy
NSW, 807 posts
20 Jul 2011 8:11PM
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Macroscien said...



just a joke,man, don't take it seriously


Take what seriously?

busterwa
3777 posts
20 Jul 2011 6:27PM
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FlySurfer
NSW, 4453 posts
23 Jul 2011 1:55PM
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Al Planet
TAS, 1546 posts
23 Jul 2011 2:42PM
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The talking doll is evil.


FlySurfer
NSW, 4453 posts
23 Jul 2011 3:09PM
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Tell me about it!

log man
VIC, 8289 posts
23 Jul 2011 3:21PM
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FlySurfer said...




Hi Flysurfer, how are you going with those explainations of "the green house effect" that you wanted. I think I gave you 3 or was it 4 explanations, one of which was delivered by a professor of earth sciences. I think Trant posted some illustrations, and I think Some other guy gave you some information as well. you did say that if the mechanics were explained and some of those questions you had were answered then you really had no basis for your denial of the science. And I think you accepted those explanations.
In true denialist form you've just..... moved on.
Flysurfer you are an attention seeking grandstander

FlySurfer
NSW, 4453 posts
23 Jul 2011 9:02PM
Thumbs Up

@log man: OMG, dude you're really hard of reading.

I answered each one of those.
The picture Trant showed us, and you said explained the situation showed.

net in 240w
net out 240w


That means NO WARMING... don't you even understand the picture you say explains my question.

I don't know how to make you understand CO2 while theoretically a green house gas (cos my uncle uses to grow better tomatoes in his green house) causes SO little warming it's almost impossible to calculate.

Seriously do the math... no wait maybe that's too much to ask; google it. If you increased the amount of CO2 10 fold it would still cause ~ no warming. And that warming would be from terrestrial radiation.

I want Australia to have the best standard of living on Earth, I don't care about the other countries.. let them figure out their own ****.

I think we have a lot of areas we can focus on to achieve the ultimate standard of living and I really can't see how increasing our living costs, and losing some of our sovereignty to a bunch of socialist globalist is going to help us.

What's your angle?

Mobydisc
NSW, 9027 posts
23 Jul 2011 9:34PM
Thumbs Up

The debate is becoming more irrelevant by the day. Its clear the vast majority of Australians do not want the carbon tax and rightly so. The federal ALP is heading for a monumental defeat next election. If anyone wants a career change consider getting Liberal preselection for safe ALP federal seats. Why not stand for Gillard's or Rudd's seat? There is a fair chance you will win and get you place on the gravy train.






log man
VIC, 8289 posts
23 Jul 2011 10:41PM
Thumbs Up

FlySurfer said...

@log man: OMG, dude you're really hard of reading.

I answer each one of those.
The picture Trant showed us, and you said explained the situation showed.

net in 240w
net out 240w


That means NO WARMING... don't you even understand the picture you say explains my question.

I don't know how to make you understand CO2 while theoretically a green house gas (cos my uncle uses to grow better tomatoes in his green house) causes SO little warming it's almost impossible to calculate.

Seriously do the math... no wait maybe that's too much to ask; google it. If you increased the amount of CO2 10 fold it would still cause ~ no warming. And that warming would be from terrestrial radiation.

I want Australia to have the best standard of living on Earth, I don't care about the other countries.. let them figure out their own ****.

I think we have a lot of areas we can focus on to achieve the ultimate standard of living and I really can't see how increasing our living costs, and losing some of our sovereignty to a bunch of socialist globalist is going to help us.

What's your angle?


Sorry so you mean the whole of the scientific world has forgotten something , some incredibly basic idea, something that only a misunderstood genius plumber from Woy Woy can possibly understand....... tell us oh genius misunderstood one

Pugwash
WA, 7671 posts
23 Jul 2011 11:41PM
Thumbs Up

Geeezzz Loggy... Play the man ooooo, your idea is wrong because you have blonde hair and green pants

If you feel your career is more relevant, put up, or


Gizmo
SA, 2865 posts
24 Jul 2011 1:47AM
Thumbs Up

This may seem a bit wacko to some but I've often thought that to some point that climate warming may be caused by humans.... think about the sun shines on a black road in summer it becomes hot and then radiates that heat back out where as grass lands don't. So have we over time created things that radiate the heat back into the atmosphere (roads, house roofs, cars, concrete, etc,etc.... IE,Cities & Towns) rather just absorb it like nature does?
And to that point should people with black or dark color car be taxed higher than people with white cars?

Trant
NSW, 601 posts
24 Jul 2011 10:13AM
Thumbs Up

FlySurfer said...

@log man: OMG, dude you're really hard of reading.

I answered each one of those.
The picture Trant showed us, and you said explained the situation showed.

net in 240w
net out 240w


That means NO WARMING... don't you even understand the picture you say explains my question.


Actually it shows that you're a muppet. That diagram shows the mechanism by which a greenhouse effect occurs, which what you asked for. Granted the diagram shows an Earth in equilibrium because of the figures, but it doesn't take much imagination to extrapolate, increase the effect, see what happens. Or are you unable to do that?

Let's have a look at the evidence so far. We've shown you

1) How the greenhouse effect occurs
2) Examples of planets with more greenhouse gasses (Venus, very hot) and those without (Mars/Moon) which wildly fluctuate but are cold.
3) Example of a country successfully using a Carbon Tax to reduce emissions for the last 20 years with a successful economy(Sweden)
4) that most leading scientific organisations say this if very real

Your answers seems to be
"I don't want to pay a tax and I don't like Gillard, therefore it isn't happening. If I keep shouting this loud enough then it becomes true."

I agree with you that there are lots of other things to do as well, reducing emissions isn't a magic solution, but it's a damn good thing to do. Seriously mate, put your politics aside and sit down and have a think. I don't like Gillard either (or Abbot for that matter), but this shouldn't be about politics.

Trant
NSW, 601 posts
24 Jul 2011 10:30AM
Thumbs Up

FlySurfer said...




Actually this video kind of proves my point.
They start with saying that people don't want to pay a tax => They go onto talking about how they're worried about where the money will go => Then they try and attack the science so they won't have to pay a tax.

This is the wrong way around.

We're coming from:
This is the science => we need to reduce emissions => what's the best way of doing that? => a market mechanism is proposed.

FlySurfer
NSW, 4453 posts
24 Jul 2011 11:07AM
Thumbs Up

Trant said...
Actually it shows that you're a muppet. That diagram shows the mechanism by which a greenhouse effect occurs, which what you asked for. Granted the diagram shows an Earth in equilibrium because of the figures, but it doesn't take much imagination to extrapolate, increase the effect, see what happens. Or are you unable to do that?

Let's have a look at the evidence so far. We've shown you

1) How the greenhouse effect occurs
2) Examples of planets with more greenhouse gasses (Venus, very hot) and those without (Mars/Moon) which wildly fluctuate but are cold.
3) Example of a country successfully using a Carbon Tax to reduce emissions for the last 20 years with a successful economy(Sweden)
4) that most leading scientific organisations say this if very real

Your answers seems to be
"I don't want to pay a tax and I don't like Gillard, therefore it isn't happening. If I keep shouting this loud enough then it becomes true."

I agree with you that there are lots of other things to do as well, reducing emissions isn't a magic solution, but it's a damn good thing to do. Seriously mate, put your politics aside and sit down and have a think. I don't like Gillard either (or Abbot for that matter), but this shouldn't be about politics.


Muppet, haha .

I tell you what I want... I don't want to extrapolate or use my imagination to come up with an excuse for an organization to ram something up my a$$, I want an equation.

eg: CO2 @ ppm = + degrees C.
or
CO2 @ % of atm = + degrees C.

Something demonstrable and replicable.
If you can do that, I can demonstrate that CO2 has about as much effect on temperature as dust has on the speed of a F1 car.

...how many times have you seen a feather duster at a pitstop.

PS: extrapolate this (240-240)=0

FlySurfer
NSW, 4453 posts
24 Jul 2011 11:22AM
Thumbs Up

Trant said...

FlySurfer said...




Actually this video kind of proves my point.
They start with saying that people don't want to pay a tax => They go onto talking about how they're worried about where the money will go => Then they try and attack the science so they won't have to pay a tax.

This is the wrong way around.

We're coming from:
This is the science => we need to reduce emissions => what's the best way of doing that? => a market mechanism is proposed.


It's amazing how 2 people can watch the same thing and come up with different analysis.

I came up with:
They're trying to steal some money from you > here's their excuse > wait that doesn't make sense > who wants to rob you and what is it really for??

We're coming from:
We waste too much energy (lets stop sending stuff here there and everywhere) BRING THE JOBS HOME
>we need more energy, lets develop new sources
>CO2 isn't a big concern right now, lets address the other areas that degrade our quality of life.
>Fark your "market", it's a bunch of greedy financial institutions trying to figure out new ways to leech off us... my market is the people of Australia

SomeOtherGuy
NSW, 807 posts
24 Jul 2011 11:41AM
Thumbs Up

FlySurfer said...

Trant said...
Actually it shows that you're a muppet. That diagram shows the mechanism by which a greenhouse effect occurs, which what you asked for. Granted the diagram shows an Earth in equilibrium because of the figures, but it doesn't take much imagination to extrapolate, increase the effect, see what happens. Or are you unable to do that?

Let's have a look at the evidence so far. We've shown you

1) How the greenhouse effect occurs
2) Examples of planets with more greenhouse gasses (Venus, very hot) and those without (Mars/Moon) which wildly fluctuate but are cold.
3) Example of a country successfully using a Carbon Tax to reduce emissions for the last 20 years with a successful economy(Sweden)
4) that most leading scientific organisations say this if very real

Your answers seems to be
"I don't want to pay a tax and I don't like Gillard, therefore it isn't happening. If I keep shouting this loud enough then it becomes true."

I agree with you that there are lots of other things to do as well, reducing emissions isn't a magic solution, but it's a damn good thing to do. Seriously mate, put your politics aside and sit down and have a think. I don't like Gillard either (or Abbot for that matter), but this shouldn't be about politics.


Muppet, haha .

I tell you what I want... I don't want to pay a tax and I don't like Gillard, therefore it isn't happening. If I keep shouting this loud enough then it becomes true.


Trant
NSW, 601 posts
24 Jul 2011 12:40PM
Thumbs Up

FlySurfer said...
I tell you what I want... I don't want to extrapolate or use my imagination to come up with an excuse for an organization to ram something up my a$$, I want an equation.

eg: CO2 @ ppm = + degrees C.
or
CO2 @ % of atm = + degrees C.

Something demonstrable and replicable.
If you can do that, I can demonstrate that CO2 has about as much effect on temperature as dust has on the speed of a F1 car.


Challenge accepted:

Current levels of CO2 in atmosphere is 391ppm : source en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_dioxide_in_Earth's_atmosphere

Increase of CO2 per year is about 2ppm : source
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_dioxide_in_Earth's_atmosphere

CO2 is responsible for about 3.618% of Global Greenhouse effect : source
www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/greenhouse_data.html (table 3)

Amount of sunlight hitting Earth is 240 Watts/m^2
(source : anywhere on the web)

The current greenhouse effect doubles this as radiation is absorbed by the greenhouse layer and re-emitted (of which 50% back to earth with each 'reflection')
source : www.lpl.arizona.edu/~showman/greenhouse.html

Total energy hitting the Earth is about 480Watts/m^2

The simple equation for working out the temperature of a blackbody in equilibrium with a certain amount of heat loss is :
F = &sigma T^4

where F is heat flux
&sigma is the Stephen Boltsman constant (5.67*10^-8)
T is the temperature


Currently this would calculate the temperature as :

T = (F / &sigma) ^ .25
T = (480 / 5.67*10^-8) ^ .25
T = 302.9 Kelvin (which is about 29.75 centigrade)

After 20 years the concentraion of CO2 in the atmosphere will increase by 20 *2ppm = 40ppm (as above),
This is an increase of about 10%
So now the heat flux is increased by 480 * 10% * 3.618% = 1.411
So the total heat flux is 481.411

The new temperature (after achieving equilibrium) would be

T = (F / &sigma) ^ .25
T = (481.411 / 5.67*10^-8) ^ .25
T = 303.2 Kelvin (which is about 30.05 centigrade)
So even this simple model says an increase of .3 degrees after 20 years

After 50 years this becomes an increase of
T = (F / &sigma) ^ .25
T = (484.35 / 5.67*10^-8) ^ .25
T = 303.6 Kelvin (which is about 31 centigrade)


So my very simple model predicts an increase of .7 centigrade after 50 years.
This is assuming that we stay at the current level of CO2 emissions (which is not happening)

This also ignores the other greenhouse gasses, feedback systems, the Earth's albedo, cloud cover etc. etc.
obviously a real calculation would include more factors, I would imagine the most important being that any increase in temp will increase the amount of water vapour in the atmosphere, which is another greenhouse gas

This is a simple demonstration of
more CO2 = higher temperature.



Now I'm waiting for your dust / Formula 1 car calculation...




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Forums > General Discussion   Shooting the breeze...


"CO2 Taxation Australia" started by FlySurfer