i am a pretty keen observer of the weather ,as we all are ,look at at a truck load of sites and have a laymans understanding of some of the modelling ,Qscat scans etc
i generally don't have a bone to pick with the bureau as i am acutely aware of the variations that happen with the weather due to local topography etc yada yada...
locally we get some big variations in wind strength even over distances of 8-10 kms but after not having a kitesurf for over a month and with a bit of expectation of getting at a run or 2 in .....i am of the firm belief that in winter the the boffins go north for a nice break and the bureau lets the work experience kids write the forecasts
didn't even break 10 knots .....tragic
the forecast for saturday
what actually happened
Your screen shot captures from late afternoon till overnight. The forecast time was last updated when. If it was a morning forecast then, your actual forecasts dont include.
Tell me when do you think a westerly would ever be predictible in the eastern states. I think if they get within 10 knots of a westerly, then that is. Pretty accurate forecast.
Kr
Hi Prawnhead,
I think your just a bit tooooo far west 320nm east of you we are having awesome wind & is expected to be kiting all week! Unfortunately no fishing this week. Huge swell expected all week at Lord Howe. Had a great session today and out again tomorrow.
Check out windy point Lord Howe Observations.
Date/Time
EST Temp
°C Wind Pressure Rain
since 9am
mm Weather Cloud Vis
km Sea
Height
m Swell
Dir
Speed
knots Gust
knots hPa Trend Height
m Period
s Dir
09/07:00pm - W 21 26 - - - - - - - - - -
09/06:30pm - W 21 26 - - - - - - - - - -
09/06:00pm - WSW 21 25 - - - - - - - - - -
09/05:30pm - WSW 20 24 - - - - - - - - - -
09/05:00pm - WSW 21 26 - - - - - - - - - -
09/04:30pm - W 22 26 - - - - - - - - - -
09/04:00pm - WSW 20 27 - - - - - - - - - -
09/03:30pm - W 17 19 - - - - - - - - - -
09/03:00pm - W 19 22 - - - - - - - - - -
09/02:30pm - W 22 25 - - - - - - - - - -
09/02:00pm - W 21 27 - - - - - - - - - -
09/01:30pm - W 23 27 - - - - - - - - - -
09/01:00pm - W 22 26 - - - - - - - - - -
09/12:30pm - W 21 27 - - - - - - - - - -
09/12:00pm - W 21 27 - - - - - - - - - -
09/11:30am - W 21 27 - - - - - - - - - -
09/11:28am - W 21 31 - - - - - - - - - -
09/11:00am - W 22 26 - - - - - - - - - -
09/10:30am - W 21 25 - - - - - - - - - -
09/10:00am - W 22 26 - - - - - - - - - -
09/09:30am - W 22 27 - - - - - - - - - -
09/09:19am - W 20 22 - - - - - - - - - -
09/09:00am - NW 11 14 - - - - - - - - - -
09/08:30am - NW 8 10 - - - - - - - - - -
09/08:00am - W 13 15 - - - - - - - - - -
09/07:30am - WNW 18 24 - - - - - - - - - -
09/07:00am - NW 15 25 - - - - - - - - - -
09/06:30am - NW 12 18 - - - - - - - - - -
09/06:00am - NW 10 14 - - - - - - - - - -
09/05:30am - NW 11 16 - - - - - - - - - -
09/05:00am - NW 12 16 - - - - - - - - - -
09/04:30am - WNW 11 16 - - - - - - - - - -
09/04:00am - W 13 15 - - - - - - - - - -
09/03:30am - W 14 16 - - - - - - - - - -
09/03:00am - W 12 16 - - - - - - - - - -
09/02:30am - W 15 18 - - - - - - - - - -
09/02:00am - WSW 15 17 - - - - - - - - - -
09/01:30am - W 11 15 - - - - - - - - - -
09/01:00am - W 13 17 - - - - - - - - - -
09/12:30am - WSW 17 21 - - - - - - - - - -
09/12:00am - WSW 12 16 - - - - - - - - - -
Hope you get a bit over your way!
When are you gonna tell us you bought a new kite / board?
[read the BOM fineprint - exclusions also include weddings, BBQs, significant birthdays, etc etc]
If your local BOM only lets the work experience kids take control during winter then have some sympathy with Hervey Bay QLD kiters. Our predominant winds during the season are SE's. Unfortunately we have a large mass just offshore called Fraser Island which breaks up sooo many predicted SE's. I would conservatively estimate that over half of the predicted 20-25 SE's aren't even kiteable, seriously. I've lost count of the number of days I've pencilled in a kite and stared in frustration as the readings fail to get above 12knts.
Yer i agree we you burkey boy the others out there really have nothing to whinge about ATT ALL . Time to move me thinks . The dream job is to be the light house manger at double island point . As for bom yep what can ya say i just look out the window and what you see is what ya get . It dose make all the difference though liven 20 meters from the beach .
so bom predict 20kn and you get 10 boohoo. Last night bom predicted a possible 40 to 50kn offshore but the oil and gas boats recorded a max 100kn (yep thats almost 200km/hr). So they get it wrong and we could easily have an oil tanker or two spread over the ningaloo reef. Slightly more concerning than someone going to the beach and missing a session on the kite.
Pretty typical though with all the tourists up here for the school holiday's.