It looks like we might not have seen the last of the la ninas that we have been getting .Things are kind of neutral to slightly negative which is usual after a big event but are not trending to positive .Please please please no more . it looks like an ECL could form early next week bringing havoc to northern NSW and possibly right along the nSW coast.Lets hope not .
If its the same as last season im gonna neck myself.... Ive started rock climbing to compensate, even bought a pair of those horrible little shoes and started to say words like crag and dynamic moves.... Enoughs enuff la nina, I want my old life back...
What I understand: La Nina may continue into spring, but a repeat of the severe events such as in 2010/ early 2011 are extremely unlikely. Therefore better wind season for Eastern Aus 2012, *hopefully*.
Pleeeeeeease let this be true! I cant do another season without NE'ers
You mean, the latest fluoro lycra with pretend sponsorship logos written all over them, don't you Willyo
I was told it would be a 2 yr event by a meteorologist(spellcheck).....but everyone knows you can't trust those b@stards.
shut the hell up wal269 remember this is a public forum and swearing like that will not be tolerated (2yr event ) that is so not fair and would suck serverly suck
Great Video (along with the other thousand on the same topic), even I now have a basic understanding of how both the El nino and la nina work. What I don't understand is what are we to experience here on the west coast of Ozz, everything seems to provide explanations for patterns at South America and East coast of Ozz and Indonesia?
How does all this nino/a **** change my summer afternoons with the Fremantle Doctor?
Any help?
i have to wonder if the warmer sea temps around sw oz and nz are creating all this extra moisture as fronts swing past
Perth has been getting old school tropical rain as the fronts approach - they seem to ramp up and dump moisture as the fronts get near the coast
maybe its cool air meeting the unusually warm water
same deal for NZ snow which went nuts as soon as they got lined up by some fronts - apparently they have record warm sea temps as well
up this way it was completely different to any other year i have seen (last 15 years)
Humidity was off the scale and winds followed suit. In the past we could expect up to a month of seabreezes before a break of 1 to 3 days with a common shift of one week of seabreeze and 3 days max of nothing. Last year we only ever had 4 days of seabreeze followed by about 3 or 4 day's of northerly winds. Sure there was wind but there is nothing like a thermal seabreeze. It's looking pretty similar this year too I reckon.
La Nina 2010-2011 brought some different conditions to normal from memory....
1st good SW after a disappointing winter was mid September
Headed north for some seabreeze end of Sept early Oct. got 5+ days of good seabreeze before a strong NE front that developed into a the first of many easterly weather patterns. (correct me if im wrong)
Back in perth October was okay as was November
Towards the end of December i thought the doctor was finally coming in after having 3-4 consecutive days of good SW SB.
Had some great sessions down south late December.
Jan was pretty good. Feb was a shocker & i got 8 straight days in March.
Wind was more from South than SW last season.
Wasn't the best season for SB but there was still plenty of wind.
La Nina = strong Leeuwin current down West coast and warmer waters
Could this mean a smaller gradient between ocean and land temp which drive our thermal seabreezes?
The last few years have been less windy and that seems to have been the same all over OZ.
During summer, good wind can be found in WA. The el nino slows the Leeuwin, so there's an extra windy season in Gero with hopefully 3m ground swell
wasn't too bad a season, channel busting a few times at the point, rather have inconsistant wind periods and thumping swell when it is windy as apposed to small sets and howlin
Tomorrow's a mystery.
Yesterday's history.
Today is a gift, that's why they call it the present.
This is one hell winter for NSW I reckon. My 50yo carcass has been gettin' hammered. Just enjoy it.
cheers
Col