Well not crazy big but 20 to 30 knot northerly forecast. Thinking of a Ricketts to Mornington - about 23k, dead north right across that open part of the bay so the swells will be rockin in that open water. Start telling everyone at work you are feeling a little sick guys and probably won't be in tomorrow. The Surf Race 14 is already twitching
Sounds good Jonathan.. Count me in.. 
DJ
Forecast for Tuesday
Winds: Northerly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 20 to 30 knots around dawn. Seas: 0.5 to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 metres during the morning.
I might be a starter, my back and neck are a little tweaked from a crash at the snow so that could be a good excuse.
Only thing is my back and neck are a little tweaked so might be difficult!
Change of plan - Sandringham to Frankston.
Dave and I will drop the car and trailer off in Frankston early and be ready for a 10am start at Sandringham - Jetty Road. Come on you guys it will be great, about 25k and 25knots!
Here's a map I prepared earlier in anticipation of doing this run one day.
Pity I'm flat out at work this week.
if a northerly is predicted wouldn't you be better to head in a southerly direction?
this looks very much SW.
Right now (8am) it's blowing 20 knots true North at the top of the bay and at the bottom of the bay.. but Frankston is only 5 knots NorEast.
It's looking like Sandy to Mornington is do'able.. I think I'll use my 17' Glide.
DJ
I hope you guys made it to Mornington before the north-easterly blew up or you might have missed Point Nepean and be on your way to Tassie.
Well done ! Good time too.
The final frontier - Indented Head to Sandy, just over 30km, or just under 20 miles.
To celebrate President Frank Costa's stint at Geelong Footy Club, two luck people got to play off for holidays... The Winner got Frankfurt, and the Runner Up got Frankston !!
Third place was 2 weeks in Frankston and forth was 3 weeks
Kind of tough sea today. Think I need an anti inflam and a good lay down
,
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Took a little getting used to but it handled the super confused water state really well and every so often a real beauty would come through. The thing that impressed me the most was the ability it seems to have to get onto a runner and stay on it despite the waves coming across at what felt like about 60 degrees, you almost couldn't see the wave you were on because of the confusion in the water but the board would stay on it.
I was just looking at the graphs and it looks like you had consistent wind of around 25knots blowing straight North all morning between Sandy and Franga. As you were heading pretty much south south/west, I'm curious as to what you think may have caused the confused swell coming at you at an angle. Would it have been better had you gone more south and headed to Mornington?
Picking a good day for a downwinder seems like a bit of a black art.
Oliver this is what I think happened today.
We started off with nice neat rows of north swells.
Once we got past Rickets Point because of the high cliffs along Beaumaris the north wind swings around and heads off shore in a north east direction around the Mentone area.. and even further along.
There is a wind Shadow from the north wind as you get past Rickets Point so the off shore wind makes new wind swells heading in a north east direction and these northeast swell lines criss-cross with the north running swells
To do this Frankston run we need a true north west wind and that should give us clean rows of waves heading straight towards Frankston.
It will be interesting to do a Mornington run on a good north wind.. It's a hell of a long way but do'able.
DJ
I believe it's something like that but my opinion is slightly different.
The longer period waves/chop that are generated over the length of the bay wrap slightly NW towards
frankston as the water gets shallower while the surface chop generated from the localised wind tries to
maintain the N direction.
Hence why the waves on the beach from Aspendale to Frankston break almost straight on the beach while
500m offshore the waves are still going N'ish.
Did you guys do all your paddling on the left side?
Good effort making the distance! Just a walk in the park for you Jonathan!
.. I'm feeling pretty stuffed today.. 
What we need here is a 3D animator to demonstrate these wave patterns "Ultimate Wave: Tahiti" style.
I just love the fact that on a pretty gloomy winters day you can get out there and have an adventure with a couple of mates. Sure it was a bit of a paddle and the direction wasn't quite right (sorry that was my fault!!) but we had a blast. There were heaps of penguins out there yesterday, first you would hear their very distinctive call then about a dozen of the little guys in the water fishing like crazy.
And every so often a good clean swell would come along and you could blast off left and make some ground up, sure it was pretty cold and the sea state was crazy at times but there was plenty of hootin and hollerin going on.
You guys that have been holding back on the open water down winder stuff, just get prepared with pfds, plan for the day, waterproof covers for your phones and get out there. Doesn't matter if you don't have the latest greatest down wind board. I kept thinking yesterday of the first big down winder we did over a year ago, because we ended up in Mornington then. Every trip is an experience and as long as you manage the risks, just fantastic.
You might have gathered .....I had a blast yesterday Managed to get onto an absolute whopper wave just in front of the Frankston Pier, who knows what the guys fishing on the pier made of some idiot in a rubber beanie hootin away on a 10 foot face on 14 foot board on a freezing winters day.
