Well there's still a day or so before the front hits QLD but you guys down south look like you're copping it big time already!
I was just looking at the raw wave buoy data (from Manly Hydraulics Lab) for Eden and it looks like the significant wave height (offshore) has reached about 7.5m (with max height over 9m!). A quick look at the historical data for the past 33 years at Eden (below) indicates a maximum significant wave height of 7.31m, so could this swell be breaking records?
With winds topping 126km/hr (68knots) at Wattamolla, just south of Sydney, an hour ago it will be interesting to see how big the swell is when it hits Sydney seeing as the Port Kembla buoy is offline and the Batemans Bay one stopped working at 6m.
Not sure how they measure it for the records Ali but we get quite a few swells a year that reach over 7meters on the max swell height in Sydney. Have seen over 10 meters max last couple of years.
Looking at the forecasts it will come up quick and die quick but linger for a while. Might get some 2- 3 times overhead the next couple of days in a few select spots but prob too much wind tomorrow.
Check this chart from 2010, we have a surprising amount of surfable spots when is this big:
As always I am hesitant to even guess how big this swell might be.
Could be 2 feet could be 8. When it's so south like this one it seems to depend upon the will of god of whether it decides to bend around Byron or not.
The High pressure system moving over us so quickly will fizzle it fast I reckon.
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cgi-bin/wxmap_all.cgi?type=prod&area=ngp_tropswpac&prod=sgwvht&dtg=2012060500&set=SeaState
As per CMC, a heap of south in it... To me it seems like it will be very stormy surf. Big storm front, Low is fairly close to shore...
Our good swells in Vicco come from the deep south around the edge of Antarctica, and the worst of the storm is 2,000km away...
Here's a great overview of the Winter Roaring Forties. They are roaring at the moment! (Red bits are roaring storms in the roaring forties!)
www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cgi-bin/wxmap_all.cgi?type=prod&area=ww3_glo&prod=sgwvht&dtg=2012060500&set=SeaState
Forget the swell. Tomorrow could be one of the best downwind days of the year on the Gold Coast!! It's all about swell direction up here anyway. A 5 foot east swell usually means bigger surf than a 20 foot South swell. On the ENE facing points like Currumbin etc anyway...
Should have seen the view looking out over Middle Harbout to the Heads this morning.
Guys were out surfing 4 foot Wyargine Point off of Chinamans Beach!
It's starting to pick up here ... Was just checking it during work. Looks 4f with some bigger ones. It's jumped from barely 2 f this morning. Some locals are calling it to peak at 8f later this afternoon and into tomorrow!
It's can't be far off making it to QLD (even if you have to look out the horizon to see the Southerly swell rolling past). Looks like its made it to Byron now.
Its nuts out at Broken Bay on the high tide, bommies and rogue waves everywhere, the channel marker for the entrance to Brisbane waters is now about 100 metres off the beach at Ettalong after being washed in overnight.
The only nutter out is a a kitesurfer.
I don't understand all these graphs. Starting to make me feel dizzy and reminds me of hospital or that polygraph I took back in ........ Hope it doesn't flatline.
Too complicating, just tell me is it triple over head ? - keep it simple.
^^^^^^That's ok goaty. Looks quadruple over head or is that a graph showing the influx of boat refugees on Gillards watch compared to John Howards.
I got caught in the middle of it last night on the yacht in what turned out to be a not so protected cove. Thats the first and hopefully the last time I will see spume blowing acrosd whitecaps.
If you want to know how big it was maybe ask someone who took the Manly ferry this morning. I reckon I saw a couple climbing and plowing through six metre swells. I couldn't undrrstand why they did not cancel those services.
The swell and weather does seem to be abating fairly quick.
geez phone calls, text messages were coming in thick and fast today for dw runs
i got really good typing in working.
looks like it stayed mostly off shore
Looks like you southerners have ground hog day for wed next week. Northen beachies should be smoking.