G'day all,
Can anyone give me some pointers on how to read the wind chart on this site?
The chart is showing around 20kn for around 4pm in the Perth metro area today, Wednesday 24.02.2010, yet there's bugger all wind at the beach so my lesson was canceled
Obviously I'm missing something here, the chart shows sufficient wind, yet there is none.
How much can the chart on this site be relied on & does anyone know any better places to get a wind forecast?
What's a boy with withdrawals to do?
If anyone got out on the water for a kite today, what size gear did you use?
HA HA. perfect timing for this post. I drove from Busselton to Perth yesterday just for a kite surf. Got to Perth and Murphy kicked me smack in the balls when the wind had turned in to air. useless air at that. I don't blame myself for being stupid enough for driving 300km because a site says it will be nice even though 90 times out of 100 its wrong where I live, no I blame seabreeze for being wrong the 91 time DAM YOU MURPHY!!!!!
That's the difference between forecast wind and actual wind......
The chart doesn't show there is sufficient wind. It shows that a computer model predicts there may be sufficient wind.
Actual wind charts are updated every 30 minutes from BoM. But if you re watching the charts you can't be in the water!!
Find three or four weather forecasting sites, average them, disbelieve them and stick your head out of the window to see if there is wind.
If seabreeze could predict the future then they'd have the lotto numbers there as well!!
If i see Green wind, i base the working week around it. It generally comes through, sometimes a little late but generally it's there. But i also check out other sites, but maybe thats because i'm a little obsessed
You have 22 posts and your still doing lessons. Forget the computer and get down the beach and your lesson will come.
It sucks when that happens. Technically, the forecast was "correct", if you check the yesterday chart, you'll see a couple of the stations reached 20-23 knots, as predicted.
You'll find in Perth that when it gets super hot, the seabreeze doesn't always make it inland. Some days, it can make it 1km inland, and you can be having a wild time & it suddenly moves offshore.
You can be standing on the beach & see it whitecapping 1km offshore.
Checkout yesterdays graphs here..
www.seabreeze.com.au/graphs/wa_yesterday.asp
As Windmill says, keep an eye on the liveobs to see if it hits.
When there are larger troughs or fronts nearby the BOM haven't got a clue.
Further more, I believe they do not have enough historic data as the country is still in infancy.
The chances are 61% that if BOM get it wrong today they will get it wrong tomorrow....much like the wind.