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Lockdown

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Created by Cobra > 9 months ago, 26 Mar 2020
Cobra
9106 posts
17 Apr 2020 5:46AM
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Bikies have been socially distancing for five years now.

laceys lane
QLD, 19803 posts
17 Apr 2020 8:00AM
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Im the kind of of person people distance themselves from.
Business as usual

GWatto
QLD, 388 posts
17 Apr 2020 8:05AM
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Cobra said..
i won't google anything about this, i know we don't have enough Blood for that scale of transfusion.
sadly i can't give blood,,use to donate all the time.

this not an attack question

when was the last time people here gave blood


Yep used to know a lot of old horsemen who swore by it...
Definitely not something which would go down well with the anti racing people these days.
They don't want my blood.... lived in the UK in the 90's so they think I have Mad Cows

SP
10979 posts
17 Apr 2020 6:10AM
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Macaha
QLD, 21884 posts
17 Apr 2020 8:12AM
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laceys lane said..
Im the kind of of person people distance themselves from.
Business as usual


Finally

Macaha
QLD, 21884 posts
17 Apr 2020 8:50AM
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Cobra
9106 posts
17 Apr 2020 8:49AM
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well well been informed Influenza # are down this year.
shows what social distancing can achieve , so next time you have the flu,,don't go to F'n work prick.







Cuttlefish
QLD, 1332 posts
17 Apr 2020 11:00AM
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Cobra said..
so considering a month ago we were looking at 3.6% mortality to a prediction of around 5.5 to 5.9%
i think they have a fair idea of where we are at.


How's those stats looking now?

Cobra
9106 posts
17 Apr 2020 11:24AM
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Cuttlefish said..

Cobra said..
so considering a month ago we were looking at 3.6% mortality to a prediction of around 5.5 to 5.9%
i think they have a fair idea of where we are at.



How's those stats looking now?


what are you talking about?

Cuttlefish
QLD, 1332 posts
17 Apr 2020 1:31PM
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Are you senile?
Where's the carnage your stats predicted?

Cobra
9106 posts
17 Apr 2020 11:38AM
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Cuttlefish said..
Are you senile?



Yes . I'm very old and frail.

Cobra
9106 posts
17 Apr 2020 11:40AM
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As you requested.





Cobra
9106 posts
17 Apr 2020 11:43AM
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Cobra
9106 posts
17 Apr 2020 11:46AM
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Cuttlefish said..
Are you senile?
Where's the carnage your stats predicted?


Can you count

Cobra
9106 posts
17 Apr 2020 12:13PM
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Select to expand quote
Cuttlefish said..

Cobra said..
so considering a month ago we were looking at 3.6% mortality to a prediction of around 5.5 to 5.9%
i think they have a fair idea of where we are at.



How's those stats looking now?


Cobra said..
so considering a month ago we were looking at 3.6% mortality to a prediction of around 5.5 to 5.9%
i think they have a fair idea of where we are at.







i don't count in 000.00.00 because i TRY counting using my own brain.
So go get your calculator and if you think the calculations of the predictions above
are so far different than bellow, you post it champion.





laceys lane
QLD, 19803 posts
17 Apr 2020 2:28PM
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Heres the thing. If you only test a selected group of high risk people, arent the stats of those infected and recovered skewed.
For all i know i might have had it and recovered without me or anyone else being the wiser????

Cobra
9106 posts
17 Apr 2020 12:43PM
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laceys lane said..
Heres the thing. If you only test a selected group of high risk people, arent the stats of those infected and recovered skewed.
For all i know i might have had it and recovered without me or anyone else being the wiser????


At your age probably not. But it has happened. And depending on testing we have the best in the world going by the figures the government showed on a recent briefing.

chrispy
WA, 9675 posts
17 Apr 2020 12:49PM
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laceys lane said..
Heres the thing. If you only test a selected group of high risk people, arent the stats of those infected and recovered skewed.
For all i know i might have had it and recovered without me or anyone else being the wiser????



Ask a scientist..you can go on the abc and ask questions(oh i can hear the andrew bolt lovers groaning ),also dr karl has answered your concern which seems to be the trending conspiracy on facebook atm lol

Opinions are one thing and are good for discussing, yet most of your question marks lacey should all be asked and aimed at the science community and your answers are there


Use the google for good luke ...it is a powerful force

Cobra
9106 posts
17 Apr 2020 12:50PM
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Ive herd about testing sewage for Meth in community's, and last nights news think it was Sky said they can test sewage for covid.

laceys lane
QLD, 19803 posts
17 Apr 2020 2:55PM
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Cobra said..
Ive herd about testing sewage for Meth in community's, and last nights news think it was Sky said they can test sewage for covid.



Yeah. I saw that too somewhere
Seems like a good idea

Cobra
9106 posts
17 Apr 2020 1:00PM
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chrispy said..

laceys lane said..
Heres the thing. If you only test a selected group of high risk people, arent the stats of those infected and recovered skewed.
For all i know i might have had it and recovered without me or anyone else being the wiser????




Ask a scientist..you can go on the abc and ask questions(oh i can hear the andrew bolt lovers groaning ),also dr karl has answered your concern which seems to be the trending conspiracy on facebook atm lol

Opinions are one thing and are good for discussing, yet most of your question marks lacey should all be asked and aimed at the science community and your answers are there


Use the google for good luke ...it is a powerful force


Dr Carl believes in herd immunity. not doing Sweden much good , but depends if you believe in higher death rates Vs keeping jobs.

Cobra
9106 posts
17 Apr 2020 1:02PM
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Hahaha news just in China says its death rate is 40% higher than reported , well we dint know that

SP
10979 posts
17 Apr 2020 1:03PM
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laceys lane said..
Heres the thing. If you only test a selected group of high risk people, arent the stats of those infected and recovered skewed.
For all i know i might have had it and recovered without me or anyone else being the wiser????



Yep..

Of course they are not a representative of the entire population. They may not even comparable period on period due to the changing testing regime..

Until recently the testing was pretty much defined to a select group. Broader now. So on both sides there is likely more cases that weren't tested and also a high number of test that are positive cause they were targeted.

Stats are wonderful and informative. You just need to understand how the numbers are arrived at and what they actually represent.


Unemployment next.

Unemployment number will be seriously skewed.


Job keeper payment and people being stood down means people will still be classed as employed.
Also people aren't looking for work which means a reduced participation rate.

The other factor is peope whose hours have been reduced won't be captured either so the headline number might look OK I've seen predictions of an increase from 5% ish to 7.5 - 10% but the real impact will be much higher as the reduction in household income will not be represented in the unemployment number

Cobra
9106 posts
17 Apr 2020 1:10PM
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Cobra said..

Maybe china invented Covid 19 and the antidote and now china is back to business as usual with no competition



Hahahaha Mick I think the CIA are reading my post,,

laceys lane
QLD, 19803 posts
17 Apr 2020 3:11PM
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Select to expand quote
SP said..

laceys lane said..
Heres the thing. If you only test a selected group of high risk people, arent the stats of those infected and recovered skewed.
For all i know i might have had it and recovered without me or anyone else being the wiser????




Yep..

Of course they are not a representative of the entire population. They may not even comparable period on period due to the changing testing regime..

Until recently the testing was pretty much defined to a select group. Broader now. So on both sides there is likely more cases that weren't tested and also a high number of test that are positive cause they were targeted.

Stats are wonderful and informative. You just need to understand how the numbers are arrived at and what they actually represent.


Unemployment next.

Unemployment number will be seriously skewed.


Job keeper payment and people being stood down means people will still be classed as employed.
Also people aren't looking for work which means a reduced participation rate.

The other factor is peope whose hours have been reduced won't be captured either so the headline number might look OK I've seen predictions of an increase from 5% ish to 7.5 - 10% but the real impact will be much higher as the reduction in household income will not be represented in the unemployment number


The government policies on testing have been tight. No doubt.
My understanding is they are wanting to test wider when they can.

Unemployment .
Hurts to think about

chrispy
WA, 9675 posts
17 Apr 2020 1:11PM
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Cobra said..
Ive herd about testing sewage for Meth in community's, and last nights news think it was Sky said they can test sewage for covid.


They already test for drugs amongst other things in our sewage

Dr Karl explained the numbers is what i was trying to say

Cobra
9106 posts
17 Apr 2020 1:12PM
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Funny as Dutton wants answers. Good luck.

chrispy
WA, 9675 posts
17 Apr 2020 1:13PM
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Select to expand quote
SP said..

laceys lane said..
Heres the thing. If you only test a selected group of high risk people, arent the stats of those infected and recovered skewed.
For all i know i might have had it and recovered without me or anyone else being the wiser????




Yep..

Of course they are not a representative of the entire population. They may not even comparable period on period due to the changing testing regime..

Until recently the testing was pretty much defined to a select group. Broader now. So on both sides there is likely more cases that weren't tested and also a high number of test that are positive cause they were targeted.

Stats are wonderful and informative. You just need to understand how the numbers are arrived at and what they actually represent.


Unemployment next.

Unemployment number will be seriously skewed.


Job keeper payment and people being stood down means people will still be classed as employed.
Also people aren't looking for work which means a reduced participation rate.

The other factor is peope whose hours have been reduced won't be captured either so the headline number might look OK I've seen predictions of an increase from 5% ish to 7.5 - 10% but the real impact will be much higher as the reduction in household income will not be represented in the unemployment number


And both sides of government have skewed employment figures for years

Do a four week course qnd one is not considered unemployed anymore...16 hours a week at tafe is now considered full time study..bangs head now lol

Cobra
9106 posts
17 Apr 2020 1:14PM
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chrispy said..

Cobra said..
Ive herd about testing sewage for Meth in community's, and last nights news think it was Sky said they can test sewage for covid.



They already test for drugs amongst other things in our sewage

Dr Karl explained the numbers is what i was trying to say


THANKS MATE.

SP
10979 posts
17 Apr 2020 1:15PM
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Select to expand quote
Cobra said..

Cobra said..

Maybe china invented Covid 19 and the antidote and now china is back to business as usual with no competition




Hahahaha Mick I think the CIA are reading my post,,


Well if trump keeps pulling the US out of the UN, WHO etc only one country with a big enough economy to step in..



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"Lockdown" started by Cobra